Lindy Effect
Time-surviving things often gain credibility from survival itself
The Wisdom of It Depends
It depends slows the conversation down enough to solve the real problem.
Strategy: Poker Not Chess
Imperfect information, luck and bluffing make poker the better analogy for strategy.
Two Job Offers and FOBO
FOBO paralyzes decision-makers. Evaluate logic, gut and optionality to decide confidently.
Ten Tests of Strategy
Most company strategies pass fewer than four of ten rigorous tests. Find your gaps.
Leading Without Apology
Leaders strengthen trust when they stop apologizing for valid contributions and reserve apologies for actual breaches of trust or execution
Strong Opinions, Loosely Held
Clients pay for conviction, and professionals must stay ready to change their minds.
Good Decisions Beat Good Outcomes
Judging decisions solely by outcomes ignores luck, and good process matters more over time.
What Poker Teaches About Business
Poker offers surprisingly durable lessons about negotiation, risk management, and reading other people.
What Orkut Teaches About Sunk Costs
A once-dominant social network's fall illustrates why sunk costs should never guide decisions.