Confirmation Bias

Confirmation bias causes people to favor evidence that supports what they already believe, making favored explanations feel increasingly certain without being properly tested.

Sturgeon's Law

Most output is mediocre, so judge fields by their best

Hanlon's Razor

Most harmful outcomes are not personal attacks

McNamara Fallacy

Count Better, Not Blindly

Strong Opinions, Loosely Held

Clients pay for conviction, and professionals must stay ready to change their minds.